Perdagangan Forex Oleh Yusuf Mansur – Bitcoin Menurut Yusuf Mansur

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Perdagangan Forex Oleh Yusuf Mansur – Bitcoin Menurut Yusuf Mansur

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Perdagangan Forex Oleh Yusuf Mansur – Bitcoin Menurut Yusuf Mansur

Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the economy. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures.

The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year.

Forecast

Importance

Reading 0.02%; 2.42

Event: 10-y Bond Auction
Period: Jun
Previous Reading: 0.03%; 2.03
Forecast:
Actual Reading: 0.02%; 2.42
10-y Bond Auction is a leading market demand and profitability indicator. Profit falls compared to the previous auctions generally have a favourable influence on the currency. hide

Forecast

Importance

Reading 0.79%; 2.16

Event: 30-y Bond Auction
Period: Jun
Previous Reading: 0.82%; 2.96
Forecast:
Actual Reading: 0.79%; 2.16
Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors’ outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence. hide

Forecast

Importance

Reading 0.07%; 1.90

Event: 10-y Bond Auction
Period: Jun
Previous Reading:
Forecast:
Actual Reading: 0.07%; 1.90
10-y Bond Auction is a leading market demand and profitability indicator. Profit falls compared to the previous auctions generally have a favourable influence on the currency. hide

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Forecast

Importance

Reading 397.016K; 577.8%

Event: Challenger Job Cuts
Period: May
Previous Reading: 671.129K; 1576.9%
Forecast:
Actual Reading: 397.016K; 577.8%
Change in the number of job cuts announced by employers. It’s extremely early data, but historically has limited short-term correlation with overall labor conditions. hide

Forecast

Importance

0.00% Reading 0.00%

The European Central Bank’s decision to increase, decrease, or maintain interest rates. Controlling interest rates is the key mechanism of monetary policy, and the ECB influences interest rates by first changing the “overnight rate” through the purchase or sale of government bonds. Lowering rates can spur economic growth but may incite inflationary pressures. On the other hand, increasing rates slow inflation but can stymie growth.

The European Central Bank makes a concerted effort to be transparent in its policy. Frequent speeches by Bank Governors make policy goals clear and the Bank adheres to a stated inflation target of 2% changing rates accordingly to meet that goal. Because of this, rate decisions are generally well anticipated, but very important nonetheless.

The ECB’s rate decision has an enormous influence on financial markets. Because the ECB interest rate is essentially the return investors receive while holding Euros, changes in rates affect the exchange rate of the Euro.

Because rate changes are usually well anticipated, the actual decision does not tend to impact the market. But if the ECB changes rates they will hold a press conference where some rationale for the decision is offered. Market participants pay close attention to the press conference, hoping to clue in on the likelihood of further rate changes. Often, the language used in the press conference holds important signals to how ECB feels about inflation and the economy. The ECB President’s language will be “hawkish” if he is pessimistic about the inflation outlook for the economy. In that case, the market sees a higher chance of future rate hike. Conversely, if the ECB President believes inflation is in check, his remarks will be “dovish,” and the market perceives a future rate increase to be unlikely.

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